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Review of the economy
during the third quarter of 1999


Up to the third quarter of 1999, economic activity displayed a strong contraction, showing a 4.6% GDP reduction compared to the same period 1998 rates. This has been closely followed by an increase in the unemployment rate, which registered a high of 20.1%; a contraction of the current account deficit (-1.3% of GDP), and a reduction of inflation (9.3%). The real interest rate reduction, the real exchange rate devaluation and the commitment of fiscal adjustment obtained with the IMF agreement, contributes to the expectation of economic for the year 2000.

REVIEW OF THE ECONOMY

 

YEARS

GROWTH

UNEMPLOYMENT
RATE

CURRENT
ACCOUNT

INTERNATIONAL
RESERVES

GDP
(%)

CPI
(%)

PPI
(%)

(%)

(% of GDP)

(Months of imports
of goods and services)

1990

4.3

32.4

29.9

10.6

1.3

5.9

1991

2.0

26.8

23.1

9.4

5.5

8.9

1992

4.1

25.1

17.8

9.8

1.8

8.8

1993

5.4

22.6

13.2

7.8

-4.0

6.9

1994

5.8

22.6

20.7

8.0

-4.5

7.0

1995

5.8

19.5

15.4

9.5

-5.1

6.3

1996

2,1 pr

21.6

14.5

11.3

-5.0

7.2

1997

3,2 p

17.7

17.5

12.0

-5,6 p

6,5 p

1998

0,4 p

16.7

13.5

15.6

-5,3 p

6,0 p

1999

-4,6 p*

9,3 *

10,9 *

20,1 p*

-1,3 pro

7,4 pro

*:  Up to the third quarter.
p :
Provisional.
pr: Preliminary.
pro: Projected.

Since 1994, the statistics correspond to the new Balance of Payment measure, according with the Balance of Payment Methodology of the International Monetary Fund  Balance of Payment Manual 5th Edition.

Source : National Administrative Department of Statistics(DANE) and National Planning Department (DNP).